DFO Crypto Fund Analytics

Here, we provide the performance overview and statistical comparison between DFO Fund and three benchmarks i.e. Gold, Bitcoin, and Barclays hedge index.

Performance Overview

Objective


Disclaimer

Reported performance in these figures consists of back-test results as well as system forward test. This is due to the fact that several metrics, i.e. Sharpe Ratio, are only meaningful with a certain amount of historical data. Reported results before July 2021 are backtest, after that the results are generated with our full featured platform.

Asset Management Pipeline

Artificial inteligence takes investment decisions here. Rule-based investing – fast, quantitative, reliable and inexpensive

DFO as an algorithmic data provider uses artificial intelligence and data analysis to create strategies for trading in the cryptocurrency market.
These strategies are constantly optimized and aim to obtain high returns compared to risk.

The DFO crypto pipeline is implemented in four steps. Each of these steps uses its own unique technology.

  • Order generation
  • Exit strategy
  • Bet sizing
  • Order execution

All DFO models are active in the spot market and all steps are executed by DFO order execution models automatically in the clients' accounts.

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  • 1

    Order generation

    The most important part of any model is order generation which is including the coin selection and entry timing. This part in DFO crypto consists of two phases:

    Coins selection:

    First, 65 coins are given to the coin selection model in terms of the largest market size. Every 12 hours, the model selects suitable candidate coins for trading in the next 12 hours based on their recent movement/trend and volatility.

    Open a position:

    To generate an order on the selected coins, the AI model checks the past state of the coin and the market situation. If the coin momentum triggers the threshold of the risk to return, the order is sent to the order opening section.


Every 1 hour, the model checks more than 500 parameters on the selected coins and decides whether to enter the market or not. According to the state of the coin, the appropriate entry point to open the position is determined.
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Artificial Intelligence Technologies:

Since our strategies are completely systematic, we have developed most of our investment technologies in-house. This makes it possible to control the quality of execution and meet the requirements of our trading algorithms.These internal automated tools help our quantitative research team quickly and efficiently identify new sources of trend in large data sets.


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Data Mining

The first step in deploying a new quantitative investment strategy is data acquisition. Today, advances in technology and declining storage costs have dramatically increased the amount of data stored by organizations across all industries. To support our AI model to find a good price level to generate orders, we use big data, browsing multiple datasets from different areas. They include data such as historical price data, indicators, price action patterns and more complex alternative datasets. We deliver 500 factors to the AI model as input.


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Data Cleaning

Since we are using different sources of data, such as order books, news, indicators, and technical and fundamental data, we may end up with unstructured format that is not suitable for the AI models, so data needs to be validated and cleaned. Our Data team has implemented various automated tools to support big data that need to be cleaned up and checked for potential errors. These instruments help our models to analyze and reduce the appearance of erroneous data that can lead to biased testing on historical data and erroneous conclusions.


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Carbon: DFO ML tool

Once the data is cleaned, our AI model as called Carbon begins to explore the data. Carbon has six sub-models including two deep neural networks and four classic machine learning algorithms. Carbon creates an ensemble learning framework in order to improve the accuracy and enhance the return. As a result, Carbon generates Buy, Sell, and Hold signals on each coin.


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Backtesting Technology

After discovering new sources of alpha signal, our researchers conduct backtests that span long historical data to increase the likelihood of finding reliable signals. The testing stage takes a lot of time due to the large amount of historical data on which the strategy can be run and it needs an intelligent design to avoid overfitting. Our quantitative backtest model requires advanced algorithms and sufficient processing power to complete their tests as quickly as possible.

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  • 2

    Exit strategy

    One of the most important factors in making a profit from a strategy is choosing the exit point wisely. Exiting early or late can wipe out all the potential profit of a position.

    Hard SL & TP

    According to the history of the coin, the level of volatility of each coin and the maximum amount of acceptable risk, stop loss and take profit are determined. (The probability of overfit in determining these parameters is high, and the optimization process needs further attention)

    Build Risk Free Position

    If the stop loss is activated, the entire position will be closed, while if the take profit level is touched, 50% of the position will be closed and the stop loss will be moved to the entry point (breakeven).

    Trailing Stop Loss

    In DFO, we have an artificial intelligence model that trails stop loss based on the trend of the coin and the market. In main trends, the trailing stop moves with the market and prevents early exit from the position. Finally, when this stop loss is activated, the remaining 50% of the position will be sold and the position will be closed.

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    Bet sizing

    The size of the order comes from a model that allocates a predisigned risk function based on the investors preferences.

    At any given time, if multiple orders are generated simultaneously, the maximum number of positions that can be opened is based on the past performance of the model on that coin and the confidence level of the AI model for that order.
    If the number of orders exceeds the maximum selection limit, the selection between coins is made based on the model historical performance on that coin. The share of each order from the available base asset is determined based on the coin's volatility in the market and the coin's trading volume in the last 12 hours.

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    Order execution

    DFO has built the execution system according to its own needs. This system connects to the exchange through API and places orders. Currently, it works on Binance, Kocoin, but due to its infrastructure, it can easily be developed and connected to other exchanges. This system has the possibility of executing all the commands generated in the previous section, such as risk-free position, trailing, etc.

Risk-adjusted performance

Every investment is associated with risk. As Deep Finance team, we aim to increase your chance of winning against the market by using AI based technologies and minimize your risk by our intelligent risk management method. Our provided Sharpe ratio and Sortino ratio indicate our potential and show outstanding risk adjusted performance in the market.